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Becoming a web designer 14 Aug 2013 | 07:22 am

I recently was having a conversation with an art student who wanted a better future than her job as a barista was likely to provide.  I suggested a job as a web designer.  She had no idea what would b...

Speculating about the Hyperloop 21 Nov 2012 | 11:56 pm

Elon Musk has been dropping hints about his Hyperloop idea.  (We cannot call it a proposal because he has not actually proposed it yet.)  There is a lot of curiosity about what it might be.  Given Elo...

A/B testing scale cheat sheet 29 Oct 2012 | 11:36 pm

This is not a guide to how to do A/B testing.  If you want that, see Effective A/B Testing, or any number of companies that will help you with A/B testing.  Instead this is a cheat sheet of basic fact...

An A/B testing cheat sheet 29 Oct 2012 | 02:02 am

This is not a guide to how to do A/B testing.  If you want that, see Effective A/B Testing, or any number of companies that will help you with A/B testing.  Instead this is a list of basic facts about...

My son's flashcard routine 17 Oct 2012 | 01:21 pm

My 7 year old son is in grade 2. In the previous grade, despite his intelligence, he was significantly behind his class in handwriting, letter reversals, and spelling. He was getting extra help from h...

How reliable will the Falcon 9 be? 9 Oct 2012 | 02:48 am

Let's apply statistics to see, based on current launch data, how reliable we predict that the Falcon 9 will be. Falcon 9 just had a launch that succeeded despite an engine failure.  According to desi...

A/B Testing vs MAB algorithms - It's complicated 17 Sep 2012 | 09:17 pm

Several months ago, several blog posts appeared on Hacker News comparing A/B testing and multi-armed bandit techniques.  If you want to review the posts and the discussion, see 20 lines of code that b...

A/B Testing vs Multi-Armed Bandit - It's complicated 10 Sep 2012 | 02:30 pm

This is currently a draft that I'm looking for private feedback on.  If you read and like it, please do not publicize until I've been able to get it reviewed and have incorporated feedback. Several m...

Financial stress on the system 9 Aug 2011 | 08:22 am

I posted this last week on Google+ at https://plus.google.com/u/0/114613808538621741268/posts/13tBzre1nRa. Given market drops since then, I'm reposting it in a more public forum. How could our next f...

A worst case for the possible US government default 26 Jul 2011 | 11:33 pm

(This is crossposted from Google+. If you use Google+, you scan find the original here.) Lots of people are scared about the possibility of a US government default. But I have an unusual reason that ...

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