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The White House Is Not a Metronome 19 Jul 2013 | 06:25 am

The writer Megan McArdle asserts that Republicans have about a 75 percent chance of winning the White House in 2016, because "voters just get tired after eight years."

In Public Opinion on Abortion, Few Absolutes 17 Jul 2013 | 10:17 pm

If you were going to craft a law based strictly on public opinion, abortions would be widely available in the first trimester and substantially restricted afterward.

Beautiful Minds 17 Jul 2013 | 12:00 am

Nate Silver of the FiveThirtyEight blog reviewed two children's books, "The Boy Who Loved Math" and "On a Beam of Light," in Sunday Book Review.

Beautiful Minds 17 Jul 2013 | 12:00 am

Nate Silver of the FiveThirtyEight blog reviewed two children's books, "The Boy Who Loved Math" and "On a Beam of Light," in Sunday Book Review.

Senate Control in 2014 Increasingly Looks Like a Tossup 15 Jul 2013 | 08:20 pm

A race-by-race analysis of the Senate suggests that Republicans might now be close to even-money to win control of the chamber after next year's elections.

Public Opinion Shifts on Security-Liberty Balance 11 Jul 2013 | 12:50 am

A new Quinnipiac poll has found a significant shift in public opinion on the trade-off between civil liberties and national security.

Rubio Is Losing Support Among Republican Voters 10 Jul 2013 | 12:24 am

In recent polls, taken amid the debate on immigration reform, Marco Rubio's favorability ratings and standing in 2016 Republican primary matchups have fallen.

As Texas G.O.P. Revives Abortion Ban, a Look at Public Opinion 3 Jul 2013 | 04:18 am

Public opinion surveys consistently find a majority of Americans support a right to an abortion, but also show that support narrows further into a pregnancy.

Re-Election Is Likely for McConnell, but Not Guaranteed 2 Jul 2013 | 02:10 am

Senator Mitch McConnell of Kentucky, the Republican leader, will probably be the favorite against Alison Lundergan Grimes, who entered the race on Monday. But he is unlikely to sail to re-election.

Same-Sex Marriage Availability Set to Double in One-Year Span 27 Jun 2013 | 03:44 am

By August, roughly 585 million people will live in countries or jurisdictions where same-sex marriage is legal, more than double the number living in such places in August 2012.

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