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Fernand bringing heavy rain to Mexico as rest of tropics lie dormant 26 Aug 2013 | 05:59 pm

Satellite image of Africa showing a distinct lack of deep convection or thunderstorm activity TS Fernand was short-lived and thank goodness for that because it was well on its way to ramping up and i...

Tropics beginning to show signs of that busy spell we’ve been talking about 25 Aug 2013 | 08:07 pm

Satellite shot showing 95L in the Bay of Campeche plus a strong tropical wave emerging from the African coast line This is probably the last weekend that we will have for a while without a named stor...

So where are all these hurricanes you were told about? 23 Aug 2013 | 09:41 pm

Water vapor image showing the dry air (bronze color) in the east Atlantic Here we are on August 23 and not a single hurricane has brewed in the Atlantic Basin thus far. Sure, we’ve seen five named st...

Is this the match that lights the fuse that sets off the Atlantic? 20 Aug 2013 | 09:26 pm

12Z GFS model run from August 20 showing tropical cyclone development in the eastern Atlantic Really not much to talk about today which is somewhat unusual for the 20th of August – in any hurricane s...

Probably see new tropical storm form in east Atlantic as pattern begins to change and favor very busy period 18 Aug 2013 | 10:39 pm

We are likely to see another tropical depression and then tropical storm form from what is now invest area 94L in the far eastern Atlantic. The NHC has outlined the area which is part of a large tropi...

Copious amount of moisture for parts of Southeast but no development seen with 92L 17 Aug 2013 | 05:59 pm

Radar image showing the large amount of rain across portions of the Southeast There is an awful lot of rain spreading across portions of the Southeast this morning but it’s not associated with the di...

92L has the spin but lacks the organized convection 17 Aug 2013 | 01:36 am

Vorticity chart showing the spin (red blob) associated with 92L in the Gulf of Mexico A quick post about 92L this evening. As you can see by the 850mb vorticity map that I have included here, the sys...

Erin Now a Depression, Gulf System Disorganized 16 Aug 2013 | 09:33 pm

As of 11:00AM this morning, most of the deep thunderstorm activity with what is now Tropical Depression Erin has vanished.  The culprit is dry air sitting over the majority of the tropical Atlantic, w...

Erin of no concern, 92L has small window of opportunity to develop while the pattern begins to look very busy 16 Aug 2013 | 05:09 pm

Model plots for 92L in the southwest Gulf of Mexico There’s a lot to talk about this Friday so let’s get right to it. First up, TS Erin continues to track WNW over the open waters of the east Atlant...

No worries of development from 92L as Erin forms in east Atlantic 15 Aug 2013 | 06:19 pm

TS Erin track map over the eastern Atlantic It looks like the disturbance in the Caribbean Sea, also known as invest 92L, will amount to pretty much nothing – at least in terms of tropical cyclone de...

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