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North Carolina Senate: Blue Like Hagan 24 Aug 2013 | 12:00 am

Kay Hagan could run a perfect campaign and still lose re-election. In 2008, the Democratic state senator was elected to the U.S. Senate because she was at the right place at the right time. She faced...

Alabama 1 Special: Republican Tide Rolls On 23 Aug 2013 | 11:59 pm

With only 50 competitive seats on the House playing field, it’s important to look at primaries on both sides of the aisle that will choose the next member of Congress. And with House Republicans divid...

Louisiana 5 Special: Republican Dynasty 23 Aug 2013 | 11:58 pm

Rodney Alexander doesn’t do anything with a lot of advance notice. In 2004, the Democratic congressman from Louisiana switched parties just before the filing deadline to ensure that angry Democrats w...

Illinois Governor: Madigan’s Decision Decreases Democratic Chances 23 Aug 2013 | 11:57 pm

Illinois Attorney General Lisa Madigan probably would have coasted to the Democratic gubernatorial nomination and to victory in the general election next year if family matters hadn’t complicated her ...

3 Key Factors Each Party Is Banking On for a Senate Majority 20 Aug 2013 | 08:09 pm

The Senate playing field is starting to solidify, and the fight for the majority looks like it will be decided in about a dozen states. But even though the fields of candidates are still taking shape ...

A Final Comment on Twitter and Election Forecasting 19 Aug 2013 | 07:14 pm

I shouldn’t be disappointed with MSNBC’s “Daily Rundown,” one of the few reasonable political shows not airing on Sunday morning. But the show did a segment with Indiana University sociologist Fabio R...

Twitter Can’t Yet Predict Elections 15 Aug 2013 | 07:13 pm

The folks over at the Washington Post must have needed copy desperately for Monday’s opinion page if they were willing to publish a piece titled, “How Twitter can help predict an election.” In the co...

No, Really: It’s Still Too Early to Judge Senate Races 14 Aug 2013 | 07:48 pm

“The GOP needs to gain three or four seats to win control (depending on which party controls the White House), and already five Democratic-held Senate seats are no better than toss-ups. The Democratic...

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